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Surfing the Waves of Social Revolution

E-mail from Bobby Garner to subscriber list
August 26, 2008

The dialectical ordering of society was evolved by Karl Marx from the discoveries of Georg Hegel. Alvin Toffler and his wife Heidi identified three major waves of civilization, but didn't dwell on the specifics of the processes involved in making the transitions from wave to wave. He seems to focus on the more obvious superficial revolutionary characteristics of technological development as the driving force, which explains why these changes occur, and simultaneously avoids questions of how. This apparently satisfies most of Toffler's readers judging from his success and popularity. Who would ever think to ask, How does all this work? After all, isn't this just the way it goes with progress? Well yes, it may be unless and until we consider the possibility of the existence of a Master Plan.

Since Toffler, and no one else to my knowledge has ever described these social changes in terms of a master plan, and consequently have never revealed how these things happen, this research project will attempt to prove the existence of such a plan, and explain how social revolutions occur. Moreover, we will seek to discover whether social revolution can be induced and controlled artificially to accomplish a speedier transition.

But first...

Surfing the Waves of Social Revolution

"The wave analogy helps us make sense of the ups and downs of human life. It also serves to describe more massive transformations in human civilization. Unbeknownst to most people, we are living in the transition from one great era to another—from the Second to the Third Wave of human society. Trendwatchers, philosophers and now even politicians and business leaders are warning the Western world that we had better "catch the wave" or we will find ourselves pounded by the surf and drowned in the riptide. - Navigating the Third Wave, by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

Alvin Toffler and his wife Heidi, whose books include Future Shock, The Third Wave, Revolutionary Wealth and several others, would have to be viewed as a New Age author in light of what we already know about it.
Alvin Toffler
Alvin Toffler
Alvin Toffler is an American writer and futurist, known for his works discussing the digital revolution, communications revolution, corporate revolution and technological singularity. A former associate editor of "Fortune" magazine, his early work focused on technology and its impact. Then he moved to examining the reaction of and changes in society. His later focus has been on the increasing power of 21st century military hardware, weapons and technology proliferation, and capitalism. He is married to Heidi Toffler, also a writer and futurist. They wrote the books credited to "Alvin Toffler" together. - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alvin_Toffler
"In the three short decades between now and the twenty-first century, millions of ordinary, psychologically normal people will face an abrupt collision with the future..." - Alvin Toffler , in Future Shock (1970)

"
Futurology has its perils, but it holds no terrors for Alvin and Heidi Toffler, perhaps the world's most famous prognosticators. Their latest book, Revolutionary Wealth, foretells the next great economic revolution. In fact, since the preferred Toffler style -- in such blockbusters as Alvin's Future Shock and The Third Wave -- is to highlight recent events as a taste of things to come, we are led to believe that the revolution is here already." - review of Revolutionary Wealth by Tim Harford of the Washington Post

"I could read and comprehend everything they said, but the failure of the Tofflers to be specific of HOW this is going to happen plauged me throughout the book." - a review of Creating a New Civilization: The Politics of the Third Wave

Toffler's Wave Theory

In the book [The Third Wave] Toffler describes three types of societies, based on the concept of 'waves' - each wave pushes the older societies and cultures aside.

  • First Wave is the society after agrarian revolution and replaced the first hunter-gatherer cultures.
  • The main components of the Second Wave society are nuclear family, factory-type education system and the corporation. Toffler writes: "The Second Wave Society is industrial and based on mass production, mass distribution, mass consumption, mass education, mass media, mass recreation, mass entertainment, and weapons of mass destruction. You combine those things with standardization, centralization, concentration, and synchronization, and you wind up with a style of organization we call bureaucracy."
  • Third Wave is the post-industrial society. Toffler would also add that since late 1950s most countries are moving away from a Second Wave Society into what he would call a Third Wave Society. He coined many words to describe it and mentions names invented by others, such as the Information Age. - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Wave_(book)

The Fourth Wave

Toffler left open both the question of what the outcome of the transformation of the structure of democracy was to entail, as well as the question of what kind of world order would supersede the order of nation-states.
[...]
Though talk about another major historical watershed on par with the Neolithic Revolution may seem premature, given that the Third Wave has only reached its crest with the advent of the Internet, one of the central themes of Future Shock is that history, itself, would accelerate to the point where all of the past would catch up with the present. Therefore, the question has been raised with increasing frequency as to whether a Fourth Wave is looming or already underway with the most recent dislocations that appear to be taking place in the world.

There has already been one book, published in 1993, titled Fourth Wave: Business in the 21st Century by Herman Bryant Maynard and Susan E Mehrtens, which forecasts and advocates the rise of a form of eco-globalism in the 21st century. A closer reading of the book, however, may mistake its central theme as a partial completion of the questions left open by Toffler concerning the nature of Third Wave society at the global level, rather than another major historical watershed.

Another, more tempting, hypothesis is that the Fourth Wave is simply the expansion into outer space; possibly incorporating the rise of a second agricultural revolution to enable settlement off-world, and reclamation of desolate regions on the Earth.

However, the question is still unresolved and no official word has been forthcoming from Toffler. Nor is one likely, given the quote "the sweeping synthesis [of the trilogy]Powershift). - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Wave_(book)#Fourth_Wave


My Comment and Analysis

First some background already covered concerning "the digital revolution, communications revolution, corporate revolution and the technological singularity".

The Science of Communication and Architecture of Belief"The traditional methods of thinking are claimed to be new discoveries by researchers who have found that: "93% of our communication is accomplished on a nonverbal level and almost all of it is achieved unconsciously."

Social Engineering For a Brave New World The Information Age, Open Source Culture, the World Wide Web and Communitarianism are among the principle matters discussed in this article.

Public Journalism: The Communitarian Media Machine This study will bring the point solidly home, that control of the media is for the most part, an inside job, rather than being bought, blackmailed, coerced or otherwise.

"Shedding of the Flesh" and Ascension To Godhood "The Ourohazard, with its inherent dualism, is the Singularity incarnate. The biomechanical Ourohazard also represents the hybrid nature of Transtopianism"

Counterfeiting the "New Earth" ...their "technological paradise" (the Singularity) will close the loop. If they can pull it off." ... "Now, in what is commonly known as the 21st century, this technology-driven rebellion is about to reach its zenith. Soon, our species will have the ability to not only liberate itself from Hell, but to create Heaven on Earth; to finally fulfill its destiny among the stars and "become as gods"." - Introduction to Transtopianism

The Dialectic Tetrad and the "Third Organization of Society I have documented the existence of the final transcendence, but lacked an all encompassing name for it, and was never able to visualize it within the [dialectical] context of thesis-antithesis-synthesis.

From Toffler, we can identify four distinct orderings of civilization. 1) Hunting and gathering. 2) Agrarian. 3) Industrial. and 4) Post-industrial. It isn't clear why he assigns the First Wave to the agrarian and ends up in the post-industrial with three waves, unless he associates the wave with the transitions between the four distinct orderings. Since this is the only way it makes any sense, I will assume this is what he means. If so it would certainly be consistent with what we have recently learned from the Dialectic Tetrad, that the synthesis is not the final "third ordering of society" as implied by every description of the dialectic, and as nearly everyone believes.

It also explains the apparent implication of a "Fourth Wave", which Toffler to my knowledge, has never touched upon. What is strongly suggested is a deception designed to cause all participants to believe that the presently developing  post-industrial, sustainable, Utopian, New Age society is the real objective, and the final organization of society.

Immediately, we can see the parallel of the Fourth Wave with the newly discovered Transcendence of the Dialectic Tetrad, which unequivocally implies that the real final objective of social revolution is one which we may object to, and would refuse to support if it were correctly understood. Understanding the Transcendence to the Fourth Wave will certainly explain why "Toffler left open both the question of what the outcome of the transformation of the structure of democracy was to entail, as well as the question of what kind of world order would supersede the order of nation-states." It will also explain why hardly no one wants to know anything about Local Agenda 21 communitarianism, and why nearly everyone denies being complicit in its implementation. I'm certain that it will also explain many other alleged mysteries.

Continuing...

Bio and comments from George Noory on Coast to Coast:
Alvin Toffler and his wife Heidi are known around the world for their work that has influenced top leaders around the globe. Known for having forecast the acceleration of daily life, the decline of the nuclear family, the spread of loneliness and rise of religion, the Tofflers decades ago also anticipated cloning, virtual reality, niche markets, information overload, work-at-home, product customization, the "de-massification" of the mass media, the threat of terrorism and many other features of contemporary life. But in the Tofflers' works, these disparate forecasts are all mere details of a far larger canvas. Few today challenge the central, sweeping thesis of their work since the mid-1960s - that a knowledge-based new economy was arising to replace the industrial age.

Futurist Alvin Toffler presented his thesis that we've entered the "Third Wave," in which a knowledge-based economy has replaced the industrial age. Yet our institutions, such as schools, have become increasingly obsolete and still reflect the modalities... - source


Bobby Garner is a researcher on the phenomenon of One-Worldism with an emphasis on the methods and techniques employed in it's attendant deception. He may be reached via E-mail from his Website at www.congregator.net. He welcomes your comments. This article may be posted in it's entirety on any website provided this statement remains attached.

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